Investing Wisely - Citigroup: Forecasts / Confirmations = Profitable Results!

By: Steve Bauer | Wed, Nov 28, 2012
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It is Really Quite Simple

It begins with Accurate Forecasting and Analytic Procedures, then it requires Well Honed Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion Confirmations, and it ends with Profitable Results. (F / C = PR). This simple 1, 2, 3 formula has produced consistent annual profits for both me and my Clients for many, many years.


Professors, F / C = PR --- > for the Following My High Profile / Bellwether Companies ...

Forecasts

My most recent articles have been posted here in SafeHaven.com are: AA, AAPL, BAC, C, CMCSA, CSCO, F, GE, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, AT&T, XOM. (To view my 20-Year Charts for the above Company Symbols - Click on the Symbol - and - To view my Articles for the above Companies - go to my Archive here in SafeHaven.com).

You might want to re-read my Archive of Articles to "Confirm" the Accuracy of my Forecasts of all of these Companies.

The above (F / C = PR) is as Accurate and Profitable - - formula / methodology as anything you will find in the financial blogs you may be reading. It is a very Conservative and Low Risk process of Investing Wisely. That is the opinion of many of my Followers and Clients. I hope you agree and will want to plug into my work / analytics for a closer look. All it takes is an Email.


Professors Quarterly Forecast for Citigroup

My past two Quarterly - Articles for (C) can be found in my Archive, just go to Authors on the Home Page and scroll down to my name - Steve Bauer.

on The Button

They (the articles) Accuracy Wise were and are - Right on the Button.

Accuracy in "The Analytic Process" can be achieved - when you do your homework well. As a part - time Educator / Professor of Finance and Economics, I was able to reinforce my University Days that -- Hard Work can lead you to the "A's" and you do not have to settle for something less. May I suggest - You just might want to improve your grade point average (annual profitability), just a bit?

You will also find that I write - random - Special Updates on both my Company and ETF Articles. My latest happened to be on Apple. Again, I believe you will find it to be very "Accurate." URL: http://www.safehaven.com/article/27649/apple-inc-special-update


My near/short-term (one month to three months) Forecast for Citigroup

is that it has been Sideways to Bearish over the past year. The June Rally remained within the channel. I have documented my identification of that rally within my Performance Article. It has also been coming down since I have put out an initial Bearish Warnings (October) to my Clients and wrote a definitive Bearish article in another financial blog and here in SafeHaven.com.

The foreseeable appreciation picture for Citigroup is not nearly as bright as most financial analysts are publishing. Longer-term (three months to six months) Valuation forecasts are however amongst the strongest for the Money Center Banking Industry Group and the Marketplace.

When the General Market turns Bearish and is in trouble (and it IS in trouble) Companies like (C) will follow suit - and also head south. If you need to confirm this remark please (see the 20-Year Chart) for (C) or any other Company listed above. That is a simple axiom of "Investing Wisely." This fact is particularly true when a Company has Less than Excellent Fundamental - Valuations at the time the General Market first starts showing weakness (and it showing weakness).

My below charts also tell that story very clearly. This being a fact, Citigroup will definitely continue to participate in this General Market pull back for a time. It is off its highs by over 10% (except for the current Bounce / Mini-Rally) but, I Forecast that there will be notable hurt in the following weeks and months ahead.

My Valuations and Forecasts for (C), this past year has been completely on target (On the Button) for both Citigroup and other Money Center Banking / Financial Companies and that is -- on balance they have not been all that profitable to own.

Most of the Companies I feature pay a dividend. (Please read my recent article for Seniors regarding doubling your monthly income).

Unfortunately, all good things must come to an end. Many Dow Companies and others are currently - hurting a hurt - and that is just plain (unacceptable asset management) if you have been advised by your advisors to HOLD.

My Fundamental Valuation for (C) remains a minus 10% - 15% or more for the foreseeable future. The first leg down took this "Company" down over 10%. Hum...


Within my professional asset management for my Clients, I offer (more timely and specific) Alerts and Recommendations for Companies that are like (C). Yes, a Pull-Back is my Short-Term (3 months to 6 months) Forecast, but the good news is that -- one day again (C) will be a very profitable Company to own. Unfortunately, that day is not project-able and therefore Prudence is the best Investment Strategy for (C) at this time.

Let me know if you are interested in my Guidance and Direction of your Portfolio.


How I Do my Forecasting and Get My Accuracy, Results and Consistent Profits ...

For further insight into my work / analytics please click on the following URL: http://www.safehaven.com/article/27820/special-notes-supporting-my-articles


The Professors - Report Card on: Citigroup (C)

Company
/ Symbol
Fundamental -
weighting (40%)
Technical -
weighting (35%)
Consensus Opinion -
weighting (25%)
Report Card -
Grade & Direction:

(0 - 100 / A - F) --
Ascending - Flat - Descending.
Citigroup (C) Good -- Good -- Good -- 76 / C -- Descending

Notes: My weighted Fundamental, Technical and Consensus Opinion ratings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Grades below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Grades above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. Information and data are ever changing, so be alert. Every companies "Grade" can from a neutral grade (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy (greater than 90) or short sale (less than 60) in a very short time.

Why on Earth anyone would invest their money in other than an "A" Rated and Excellent Report Card? This is beyond my capacity to understand!

The twenty-year chart of Citigroup is offered to give you a perspective. "Perspective" is yet another tool for making money that is seldom employed by Advisors and Investors alike.

My article here in SafeHaven.com on "My Rotation Model" supports the above Notes. (click here).


Two-Year (Comparative Percent) Chart of Citigroup (C) and S&P - (SPY) - ETF

2-Year Citigroup versus SPY

You can clearly see that (C) and (SPY) are tracking each other rather well! That should be a "Warning." Please - Do not Buy or Short Citigroup, without talking with a seasoned financial analyst or perhaps visiting with me via Email.

Twenty-Year Chart of Citigroup (C) and S&P - (SPY)- ETF

20-Year Chart: Citigroup versus S&P (SPY)
Larger Image

I suggest that you to take a long look at this 20-year chart. Having a longer-term perspective of a possible future investment will always give you a more consistent bottom line. Comparing Citigroup (C) with the SPDR, S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -- should tell you a very compelling story of how I go about profiting in the stock market. It has much to do with "Perspective" and "Comparative Analytics." These two words make my job rather easy because there are always Companies and ETFs that are "In-Favor." Most Companies and ETFs are "Not In-Favor" at a given time-frame.


I am the guy who wrote the 38 week course on Investment Basics. See the link on the right column (side-bar) of SafeHaven.com - Home Page.


The Professors -- Weekly -- (Bullish Alert - or - Bearish Warning) --- For the General Market and the U.S. / Global Economies:

Bearish Warning

My Fundamentals are over-valued. My Technicals are over-bought. My Consensus Opinions are much too bullish. Insiders are selling, and Interest Rates and Dividends are on the rise.

The Economies of the World's Economic Powers are in much more peril than is being reported by the Media.

That means there is going to continue to be a great deal of hurt for the foreseeable future.

You are purposefully being lied to by Washington, (other World Capitals) -- Wall Street -- the Media. Learn to Filter this misguiding information and data.

Therefore, I remain Bearish on the General Market, all Sectors, most all Industry Groups and Companies / ETFs as well as the Economies of the World. I further believe Holding Long Positions in most Mutual Funds and other Financial Advisors for the foreseeable future is not WISE!

The U.S. is already into an (un-announced) Recession! You just have not been told by your government, as usual! However, 9 European Countries have confirmed to their "People" that they are "In Recession." Certain Asian Countries will follow.

I will keep you posted ...


As for What to Do -- Now? The answer to that Question is what I get paid for. The above is and will be Accurate advice but, if you are not "plugged in" to your financial advisor on a personal (one on one & 24/7) basis I can assure you that - YOU will NEVER have the Results that you EXPECT - or - DESERVE!

Attempting to Compete with a professional in sports, academics, theology or the stock market is Not Recommended! In fact I believe it is - Damned Foolish! The majority will always try to Compete but - historically the majority are never Profitable or Winners.


Please visit my personal blog, if you have not followed it lately. There is a special announcement that hopefully will make sense to you that I would like to be paid for my experience, accuracy and hard work.

My Blog: http://twitter.com/InvestRotation


My Email Address is: senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Thanks for permitting me to share my -- pragmatic and candid -- "stuff."

I would appreciate your Telling a Friend or Two about my postings here in SafeHaven.com. It is by far the best financial blog on the web.


Smile, have Fun - "Investing Wisely",

 


 

Steve Bauer

Author: Steve Bauer

Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

Steve Bauer

Steve has several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and doctorate and a great deal of (too much) continued education. For seven years, he did a stent as a University Professor of Finance and Economics.

Dr. Bauer also writes for SeekingAlpha.com. His articles can be viewed at: http://seekingalpha.com/author/steven-bauer?source=search_general&s=steven-bauer

He owned a privately held asset management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.

Professionally he is a financial analyst and private asset manager / consultant / mentor.

Steve can be reached at senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Copyright © 2010-2013 Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.

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