Why We Are Un-Governable
Once a country's total debt exceeds a certain level, the required interest payments become a headwind, making economic growth virtually impossible. Since economic growth is a foundation to political stability, excessive debt pushes a free society towards the limits of governability. This is now the case in most of the developed world. As a consequence we are quickly losing our ability to democratically govern ourselves.
We are irresponsibly and expediently creating infinite amounts of the world's reserve currency out of thin air in desperate hope of creating short term artificial economic growth. Unfortunately, this simply amounts to running up the balances on an unlimited credit card, instead of controlling ourselves like adults. When we do this we stop prioritizing our needs versus our wants. Like a spoiled child, the public quickly becomes conditioned to getting what it wants and expects, versus caring about the costs and consequences.
Politicians are then left the intractable problem of disciplining an unruly household wanting more, when there is less and less available within the sovereign household purse to give. Unfortunately, our pandering political parents have been no better and have been using the debt build up to:
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Build a global military empire that costs about a trillion dollars a year,
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Create cradle to grave welfare state that costs a trillion dollars a year,
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Develop an aristocracy of bankers and politicians who, because they get first crack at those newly-created dollars, have become all-powerful. In today's America, Goldman Sachs, the Treasury Department, and the Fed are just divisions in the same profit-maximizing organization.
Our politicians are no longer leading. Out of campaign finance necessity, they have become obedient followers of party doctrine, political polls, and powerful media masters.
Additionally, excessive debt produces political polarization and gridlock, which makes fiscal policy impotent. This leaves monetary policy as the only remaining tool. A tool the political process does not control, but unelected central bankers do.
We will likely continue to be delusional and hide our problems from ourselves, but we can no longer hide the effects. As a consequence the public has lost confidence in the system and we now have an insidious Crisis of Trust. A Crisis of Trust in our leadership and the system.
As a consequence, every major country will now have no choice but to monetize its debt going forward.
Expect the results to be:
- Currency Wars
- Rising Political Instability
- Rising Inflation (currency depreciation)
- A Bond Market Debacle
- A Crack-up boom followed by devastating collapse of the U.S., Europe, Japan
25 Minutes, 31 Slides
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Author: Gordon Long
Gordon T. Long
Publisher - LONGWave
Gordon T. Long has been publically offering his financial and economic writing since 2010, following a career internationally in technology, senior management & investment finance. He brings a unique perspective to macroeconomic analysis because of his broad background, which is not typically found or available to the public.
Mr. Long was a senior group executive with IBM and Motorola for over 20 years. Earlier in his career he was involved in Sales, Marketing & Service of computing and network communications solutions across an extensive array of industries. He subsequently held senior positions, which included: VP & General Manager, Four Phase (Canada); Vice President Operations, Motorola (MISL - Canada); Vice President Engineering & Officer, Motorola (Codex - USA).
After a career with Fortune 500 corporations, he became a senior officer of Cambex, a highly successful high tech start-up and public company (Nasdaq: CBEX), where he spearheaded global expansion as Executive VP & General Manager.
In 1995, he founded the LCM Groupe in Paris, France to specialize in the rapidly emerging Internet Venture Capital and Private Equity industry. A focus in the technology research field of Chaos Theory and Mandelbrot Generators lead in the early 2000's to the development of advanced Technical Analysis and Market Analytics platforms. The LCM Groupe is a recognized source for the most advanced technical analysis techniques employed in market trading pattern recognition.
Mr. Long presently resides in Boston, Massachusetts, continuing the expansion of the LCM Groupe's International Private Equity opportunities in addition to their core financial market trading platforms expertise. GordonTLong.com is a wholly owned operating unit of the LCM Groupe.
Gordon T. Long is a graduate Engineer, University of Waterloo (Canada) in Thermodynamics-Fluid Mechanics (Aerodynamics). On graduation from an intensive 5 year specialized Co-operative Engineering program he pursued graduate business studies at the prestigious Ivy Business School, University of Western Ontario (Canada) on a Northern & Central Gas Corporation Scholarship. He was subsequently selected to attend advanced one year training with the IBM Corporation in New York prior to starting his career with IBM.
Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
The information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or recommendation you receive from him.
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