Historic Optimism in the Stock Market - What Does it Mean?

By: Elliott Wave International | Thu, Jan 2, 2014
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How do you know when the market is getting ready for a change? This quote from Bob Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer the Crash, looks at investor psychology at extremes in the markets:

The engine of high stock market valuation is widely shared optimism. The greater the degree of the advance that is ending, the greater the optimism at its peak. Optimism also tends to remain strong in the early stages of a bear market ...

Today, how optimistic are market participants? Bob dedicated an entire issue of his Elliott Wave Theorist market letter to looking at the level of optimism in the markets today. These two charts, excerpted from that letter, show just a piece of the story. Learn how you can get the entire issue, with 15 eye-opening charts, for free.


"Charts tell the truth. Let's look at some charts ...

"Figure 9 shows that in the second-to-last week of October, the public poured more money into various U.S. stock funds than at any time in at least seven years, which includes the 2007 stock market top.

Fund Cash/Stocks Ratio

"All this stock buying has created a lopsided investment ratio among fund sectors. As shown in Figure 10, the percentage of money in Rydex's conservative money-market funds as opposed to speculative stock market funds is the lowest since 2001, which is just after the all-time high in the real value for stocks."

The Public Plunges Into Stocks

These are just two of the 15 charts that you can see for free. For a limited time, Elliott Wave International is giving away a full issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. In this 10-page issue, you can see all 15 charts and decide for yourself whether the market is at an optimistic extreme. See below for more details.

 


See All 15 Charts from Bob Prechter's 10-Page Market Letter -- FREE

Is the U.S. stock market at an optimistic extreme? See for yourself with this limited-time special offer.

Download your free copy of Bob Prechter's November Elliott Wave Theorist now >>

 


 

Elliott Wave International

Author: Elliott Wave International

Elliott Wave International

Robert Prechter, Chartered Market Technician, is the founder and CEO of Elliott Wave International, author of Wall Street best-sellers Conquer the Crash and Elliott Wave Principle and editor of The Elliott Wave Theorist monthly market letter since 1979.

Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. EWI's 20-plus analysts provide around-the-clock forecasts of every major market in the world via the internet and proprietary web systems like Reuters and Bloomberg. EWI's educational services include conferences, workshops, webinars, video tapes, special reports, books and one of the internet's richest free content programs, Club EWI.

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TRUE MONEY SUPPLY

Source: The Contrarian Take http://blogs.forbes.com/michaelpollaro/
austrian-money-supply/