USDCAD Targets New High Above 1.0700 - Elliott Wave Analysis

By: Gregor Horvat | Thu, Feb 13, 2014
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USDCAD turned south two weeks back from above 1.1200 resistance region where we called end of a wave 3 that is part of an impulsive price action from 1.0170. We know that impulses are five wave pattern, and if we consider that larger trend on this pair is up, then we may suspect that retracement from the highs is probably just another correction within ongoing uptrend. With that said, we labeled a pullback as wave 4 that may send prices up in wave 5 in the next week or two. We expect new high as long as pair trades above 1.0700 invalidation level.

USDCAD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

USDCAD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

USDCAD Four Hour

USDCAD did not cross 1.1120 resistance yet, so it seems that pair is still moving south within incomplete wave 4. Wave 4 is a corrective leg which can now form a complex correction with 1.0950 test yet to come. From a larger perspective our bias is still bullish because bigger trend is still up, so we expect that sooner or later USDCAD will turn up into wave 5, but 1.1120 break would be needed as confirmation.

USDCAD 4h Elliott Wave Analysis

USDCAD 4-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


Another commodity currency that may turn bearish against the USD in coming days is Canadian dollar. On USDCAD price chart we see lower lows and lower highs which is identification of a downtrend, but because of overlapping structure we think that fall will not last long. We see a double zigzag, now moving south in wave (c) final leg in a corrective sequence that may find a support around 1.0900.

USDCAD 1h Elliott Wave Analysis

USDCAD Hourly Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and His feature articles have been published on:,,, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory,,, etc. He recently won the award on for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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