99 Problems. But Oil Ain't One of Them

By: Marin Katusa | Mon, Feb 17, 2014
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America has some serious problems.

Despite the fact that the United States spends $15,171 per student-more than any other country in the world-American students consistently trail their foreign counterparts, ranking 23rd in science and 31st in math.

The US also spends more than twice as much on health care per capita than the average developed country, yet underperforms most of the developed world in infant mortality and life expectancy. The US rate of premature births, for example, resembles that of sub-Saharan Africa, rather than a First World country. And if you think Obamacare is going to change that. I have a bridge to sell you.

K Street has a bigger influence on American politics now than Main Street, and economic key players like the TBTF banks, the insurance industry, etc., have nearly carte blanche to act in whichever way they see fit, with no negative consequences.

The US government is spending more money to spy on Americans and foreigners than ever before. Since August 2011, the NSA has recorded 1.8 billion phone calls per day (!)-with the goal of creating a metadata repository capable of taking in 20 billion "record events" daily.

More than one in seven Americans are on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)-better known as "food stamps."

The list goes on and on.

But there is one problem that America doesn't have-getting oil out of the ground.

After decades of declining domestic production, US producers finally figured out how to extract oil from difficult locations, whether that's the shale formations or deposits under thousands of feet of water. and they've kept going ever since.

Today, the US is one of the few countries in the world that have seen double-digit growth in oil production over the past five years.

Oil Production Growth, 2008-2012

This presents some great investment opportunities for the discerning investor.

The oil industry's new treasure trove, the legendary Bakken formation, has turned formerly sleepy North Dakota into one of the hottest places in the United States. According to the Minneapolis Fed, "the Bakken oil boom is five times larger than the oil boom in the 1980s."

Unemployment in the state with 2.7% is the lowest in the nation; in Dickinson, ND, even the local McDonald's offers a $300 signing bonus to new hires, on top of an hourly wage of $15.

Here are some more fun facts, courtesy of the Fiscal Times:

The entire "energy map" of the United States has been altered by the Bakken: the Midwest, rather than the Gulf, is now the go-to area.

And who profits the most? The pipeline companies that can quickly adapt to this new situation and the refinery companies that can use this readily available domestic oil.

Though the rest of the world is trying to catch up, the United States has a huge head start over everyone else. The advancements it holds in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling had been built on the back of one and a half centuries of oil and gas exploration and the thousands of firms that service the drillers and producers.

So far, other countries simply lack the experience and the infrastructure to even compete.

In fact, American companies have spent 50% more money on energy research and development (R&D) than companies anywhere else in the world. What's more, they are exporting this technology across the globe, enabling other countries to unlock their own hydrocarbon reserves.

Obviously, they're not doing this out of philanthropy; there is a lot of money to be made by licensing out their technology and "lending a helping hand."

The biggest winners, hands down, are the energy-service companies that already know how to get oil out of US fields. and that apply these methods to other fields worldwide to boost production and reduce decline rates.

As the easy-to-extract oil depletes in the US and abroad, oil companies and governments are beginning to look at past-producing oil fields. As it turns out, the producing wells drilled in the 1970s and '80s weren't very good at getting every drop of oil out of the ground. With modern technology, however, it is now possible to access previously out-of-reach deposits. Even a mere 5% or 10% improvement in oil recovery rates means billions, if not trillions, more in revenues.

Rediscovering previously overlooked fields was what started the boom in the Bakken as well as the Eagle Ford formations. and other countries are beginning to catch on.

We believe that this new trend of applying new technologies to old oil fields is not a fad but here to stay. That's why our energy portfolios are stocked with companies doing just that in Europe, Oceania, and even South America.

As it's becoming clear that the era of cheap, light, sweet crude is nearing its end, the industry is adapting to this new reality of oil becoming more difficult to access. And if investors want to make profits in today's energy markets, they, too, must learn to adapt.

 


Read our 2014 Energy Forecast for more details on what's hot and what's not in this year's energy markets. This free special report tells you about the 3 sectors we are most bullish on for this year, and which sectors to avoid in 2014. Read it now.

 


 

Marin Katusa

Author: Marin Katusa

Marin Katusa
Senior Editor Energy Division
Casey Research, LLC.

Marin Katusa

Marin Katusa, an accomplished investment analyst, is the senior editor of Casey Energy Opportunities, Casey Energy Confidential, and the Casey 50. He left a successful teaching career to pursue analyzing and investing in junior resource companies. In addition, he is a member of the Vancouver Angel Forum where he and his colleagues evaluate early seed investment opportunities. Marin also manages a portfolio of international real estate projects. Using advanced mathematical skills, he has created a diagnostic resource market tool that analyzes and compares hundreds of investment variables. Through his own investments, Marin has established a network of relationships with many of the key players in the junior resource sector in Vancouver. Marin has the connections, the mathematical and analytical acumen to bring the best investment ideas and most promising private placement offerings to Casey Research subscribers.

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TRUE MONEY SUPPLY

Source: The Contrarian Take http://blogs.forbes.com/michaelpollaro/
austrian-money-supply/