Crude Oil Elliott Wave Analysis: Corrective Rally

By: Gregor Horvat | Mon, Feb 24, 2014
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Crude oil has reversed nicely to the upside in the last couple of weeks from 91.00 low, clearly in impulsive fashion so we suspect that prices are in corrective reversal of wave 2). As such, current rally is temporary, but needs to be made in three legs, ideally with a three wave retracement for 61.8% compared to previous five waves down. We see prices now at the end of wave A with so be aware of a wave B pullback in the second part of February.

OIL Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

Crude Oil Daily Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


Crude OIL Four Hour

On Crude Oil we are tracking final stages of an impulsive wave A that could find a top in this week. On the 4h chart we are looking at red wave v) of (v) that should be made by five smaller waves. Notice that the sub-structure from 93.30 is still not in five waves, so we assume that recent minor retracement was wave iv, just another minor correction within ongoing trend. Price could rise up to 103.50, but keep in mind that rally is in late stages of an extended pattern, so sooner or later market will turn south, ideally for a bigger three wave decline.

OIL 4h Elliott Wave Analysis

Crude Oil 4-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


Crude OIL One Hour

Crude oil remains bullish for a minimum one leg to the upside, possibly up to 103.50-104.00 area but 101.70 must hold.

OIL 1h Elliott Wave Analysis

Crude Oil 1-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat, based in Slovenia, has been in the forex markets since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who has worked for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. He also is founder of forex services on www.ew-forecast.com. EW-Forecast.com provides technical analysis of the financial markets, highlighting behavioral patterns based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). Website: http://www.ew-forecast.com/

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