USD/CAD: Drifting Lower
USD/CAD remains in a declining short-term channel, as can be seen by the recent new lows below the support at 1.1039. An hourly support stands at 1.1019 (61.8% retracement). Hourly resistances are given by the declining channel (around 1.1121) and 1.1160 (27/02/2014 high).
In the longer term, the decisive break of the major resistance at 1.0870 validates a multi-year basing formation whose minimum upside potential is around 1.1910. A first resistance is given by the 50% retracement of the decline from the September 2009 peak at 1.3065 (around 1.1236). A support stands at 1.0911 (19/02/2014 low).