USDCHF Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish Wave In Action

By: Gregor Horvat | Wed, Apr 9, 2014
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USDCHF fell to a new low of the year in February so market remains in bearish mode as long as 0.9080 swing high is not breached; but the question is for how long. We are looking at an ending diagonal in wave C that suggests a coming bullish reversal sometime this year, most likely in the second part of 2014. On the chart we are tracking wave (5), final leg in the pattern that may find a support at 0.8450-0.8550 area. A rise back above 0.9080 would suggest a bullish turning point.

USDCHF Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

USDCHF Daily Elliott Wave Analysis Chart


USDCHF Four Hour

USDCHF has turned nicely to the downside since Friday, clearly in impulsive manner. Notice that market also retraced back to the area of wave B swing low after a broken support line of an upward channel. That's a very strong and important evidence for a trend change, thus it suggests that top has been formed at 0.8951 and that market will continue to the downside after any short-term corrective bounce. Ideally we will see a wave 2 retracement back to 0.8870/90 where broken support line may not become a resistance.

USDCHF 4h Elliott Wave Analysis

USDCHF 4-Hour Elliott Wave Analysis Chart

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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