Gold: Recovery Rally Fading
Gold has breached support at 1276 (11/03/2014 low) yet staged a strong recovery rally. Failure to sustain a recovery bounce, indicates a renewed test of support at 1276. Resistance at 1301 (200 day moving average) should cap upside.
Longer term, we are skeptical of a long-term bullish reversal pattern. A move back to the previous lows at 1181 (28/06/2013 low) is eventually favored. A major resistance stands at 1434 (30/08/2013 high).