Summer Cycle Sit-Down in the US Dollar

By: Ed Carlson | Tue, Jul 1, 2014
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A 3-year cycle points to an important low this summer. At 3-years, 3-months, July seems like a good bet but it is possible the cycle low came two months early with the low in May. However, July is also an expected 13-month cycle low. A 95-day cycle low is due the final week in July.

A 2H'14 rally in the Dollar should turn back any rally in commodities (yes, gold too - gasp!) until the secular bear market is finished near year-end. It also has the potential to turn up interest rates which has been the death knell for the previous two bull markets in 2000 and 2007.

US Dollar Index Chart
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Ed Carlson

Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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