The Flash Crash Cycle is Due in August 2014

By: Ian Thijm | Sat, Aug 2, 2014
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The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I discovered this cycle back in 2010, when the Flash Crash occurred, which is why I named it the Flash crash cycle. This Cycle has been in the markets ever since the crash of 4/14/00 Low. I was amazed, when I first discovered this cycle to find it was a perfect 360 Trading Days (TD) Cycle, like the 360 degrees of a Circle (Cycle), it suggested that this fixed Cycle was found at major turning points.

The Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a fixed 75 wk/525CD/360 TD (degree) Cycle that is next due Mid to Late August 2014.

S&P500 Weekly Chart
Larger Image

04/14/00L -358- 9/21/01L - 369/77- 3/12/03L -359 - 8/13/04L- 1078 (3X 360

=1080) - 11/21/08L-356-4/26/10H-364-10/4/11L-720-8/15/14+/-

Some of the 525 CD/75 week cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the 4/14/00 Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 banking crisis Low, although some were not all that "flashy", like the 3/12/03 Low and 8/13/04 Low, but still they were major Lows.

The Flash Crash cycle in details

04/14/00L - 09/21/01L = 525 CD = 75 weeks = 2.618 X 200 CD = 523.6

04/14/00L - 03/12/03L = 1062 CD = 2.02 X 525 CD = 03/12/03 Major Low

04/14/00L - 08/13/04L = 1582 CD = 3.01 X 525 CD = 08/13/04 Major Low

04/14/00L - 11/21/08L = 3143 CD = 5.99 X 525 CD = 11/21/08 Major Low,

04/14/00L - 05/06/10L = 3674 CD = 7.00 X 525 CD = 05/06/10 flash Crash,

04/14/00L - 10/14/11 = 4200 CD = 7.98 X 525 CD = 10/04/11L, Major Low.

04/14/00L -08/29/14 = 5250 CD = 10.00X 525 CD = 08/29/14+/-

7 out of 10 FC Cycles saw 7%-26% (avg 12-14%) declines and most are in 2-3 wks

03/24/00H - 04/14/00L was a 14% decline in 3 weeks

08/31/01H - 09/21/01L was a 20% decline in 3 weeks

01/31/13H - 03/12/03L was a 16% decline in 8 weeks

06/24/04H - 08/13/04L was a 7% decline in 7 weeks

11/04/08H - 11/21/08L was a 26% decline in 3 weeks

4/26/10H - 05/06/10L was a 12% decline in 3 weeks

9/16/11H - 10/04/11L was a 12% decline in 2 weeks

7 out of 10 (70%) of the Flash Crash 360 TD/75 week Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines, (3 did not see any decline) mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows.

Perfect (exact) 360 TD (degrees) Harmonics all due in August 2014!

04/14/00L + 3600 TD (10 X 360 TD)= 08/11/14

09/21/01L + 3240 TD ( 9 X 360 TD) = 08/07/14

03/12/03L + 2880 TD (8 X 360 TD) = 08/20/14

08/13/04L + 2520 TD (7 X 360 TD) = 08/19/14

11/21/08L + 1440 TD (4 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14

05/06/10L + 1080 TD (3 X 360 TD) = 08/21/14

10/04/11L +  720 TD (2 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14

It is interesting that so many (7) 360 TD degree Harmonics are all due in August 2014.

The Flash Crash Cycle is a fixed cycle that can expand or contract and will have its misses (3), but if you study it carefully, when they do work, you'll see some amazing accuracies in Trading Days (TD), that are off maximum 1-4 TD variance from the 360 TD Cycle (Circle, degrees):

1. 04/14/00L - 358 TD- 09/21/01L, +2 TD = 360

2. 03/12/03L - 359 TD- 08/13/04L, +1 TD = 360

3. 08/13/04L -1078 TD-11/21/08L, +2 TD = 360 X 3

4. 11/21/08L - 364 TD -05/06/10L, +4 TD = 360

5. 05/06/10L - 356 TD -10/04/11L, -4 TD = 360

6. 11/21/08L - 720 TD - 10/04/11L, -0 TD = 360 X 2

7. 08/16/07L - 723 TD - 07/01/10L, -3 TD = 360 X 2

The best way to use this Flash Crash cycle is with other Time and Cycle techniques and they are a few other reliable timing techniques to help pinpoint the exact date for the Low, whether it crashes or not, the date for the low in August is already marked on my calendar.

Conclusion Flash Crash (FC) cycle: The next Flash Crash cycle is due Mid to late August Lows.

7 out of 10 Flash Crash 360 TD Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines (3 of them were off or did not see any declines), mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Please note some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows. If the Flash Crash Cycle is active, we will see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the August major Lows.

 


 

Ian Thijm

Author: Ian Thijm

Ian Thijm BSc, MBA
Raj Times and Cycles

My first experience with the Stock-markets was during my MBA in August 1987, right before the 87 crash. Needless to say I fell in love with the markets and studied everything I could on Timing and Cycles in the Markets, including Gann, Bayer, Baumring, Astrology, Geometry, etc. Although I loved the markets, the markets didn't love me the 1st 7 years. Then I found a unique "Ezekiel Wheel" (Symmetry Point Cycle) based on the works of James Brock and in October 1994, I turned $5000 into over $112,000 in one month. I thought I had found the Golden Key to unlock all the market profits, but the markets again humbled me. I spent the next 7 years studying and researching various unique Time and Cycle methods. Then in June 2000, I met my Partner and I became a full time Investment Manager. Life, like Markets goes through Cycles and the next 7 years, I had the most valuable, enriching lessons in my life with Markets, People and managing Money. It was very enlightening. This brings us to the present day, where I feel the need to share and teach what I have learned and that is what this blog and website is all about. I hope it is worthwhile to you.

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