EURUSD: Price Still Heading South

By: Gregor Horvat | Wed, Nov 11, 2015
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EURUSD fell sharply lower in the last few weeks with accelerating price action which confirms a continuation of a downtrend. We see huge possibility for wave (3) in progress that is part of a big five wave move within wave V that began unfolding at the end of September, away from 1.1700. Based on current very strong bearish momentum we may see extension towards 1.0400 this year, where we see Fibonacci projected levels for wave (3). As long as price trades beneath 1.1082 trend is down.

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD Daily Chart

On the 4h chart, EURUSD made another strong leg down last week when price broke well beneath wave 1) swing low around 1.0900 which suggests that pair is now in a red wave 3). Third waves are usually the strongest so we stay bearish on EURUSD for now towards 1.0600 that can be seen in the next couple of days. Invalidation level is at 1.1070; as long it will hold trend is down, but we will likely change our view if pair would go back above 1.0900.

EURUSD, 4H

EURUSD 4-Hour Chart

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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