German DAX: Downtrend Still In Play

By: Gregor Horvat | Wed, Feb 3, 2016
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DAX is trading higher this week but so far rally is not impressive; we see some slow moves here so it can easily be a corrective movement. An updated count shows a possibility for wave 4 that can be looking fro a resistance near 10000 psychological level. A new fall from there can be seen then, down into the wave 5, final leg of an ending diagonal. We would turn bullish only if price would rally above to 10400/10500.

German DAX, 4H

German DAX 4-Hour Chart

The ending diagonal is a special type of motive wave that occurs primarily in the wave 5 position when price has moved too far and too fast. Some ending diagonal triangles appear in the C wave of an ABC correction. In all cases, the ending diagonal terminates the move of larger patterns.

An Ending Diagonal Pattern:

Elliott Wave Idealzed Ending Diagonal Pettern

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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