Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCHF and USDJPY

By: Gregor Horvat | Tue, Apr 4, 2017
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USDCHF

On the updated chart of USDCHF, we see price undergoing a nice sharp and strong rally to the upside, probably as an indication for a low in place. If that is the case, then recent big three wave pattern to the downside is completed as a contra-trend move, therefore more gains may follow in days ahead. Now, we see price trading in the first wave 1) that may find a potential top in sessions ahead and make a minimum three wave reversal to the downside for wave two. Possible support can then be around 0.9900.

USDCHF, 4H

USD/CHF 4-Hour Chart


USDJPY

USDJPY is falling sharply for the last few weeks, clearly with impulsive price action down from 115.50, but if we take a look at the whole bearish cycle from December 2016 high, then we need to be aware of a new significant turn. The reason is a three-wave structure, which in Elliott Wave terminology represents a corrective price move, but it's important to wait on a confirmed low of a wave C) before we may turn bullish. With that being said, we would need an impulse back above the swing high of wave 4 to confirm end of a bearish cycle.

USDJPY, 4H

USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart

 


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Gregor Horvat

Author: Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat
www.ew-forecast.com

Gregor Horvat

Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of www.ew-forecast.com, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on: SafeHaven.com, FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At www.ew-forecast.com he helps clients and educate them about the Elliott wave prinicple and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time.  His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators.

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