Gold Stocks in a Rising Gold Market

By: Doug Casey | Thu, Apr 26, 2007
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While there are a number of ways to play rising gold prices, my personal favorite is the higher-quality junior precious metals exploration companies. Those are companies with a high risk profile (few will ever actually make an economic discovery), but you can apply analytical screens to them that greatly lower that risk... leaving some truly extraordinary upside.

How extraordinary? While an extreme example, on the back of the Eskay Creek discovery Consolidated Stikine Resources went from 10 cents per share in 1988 up to a high of $73 in 1990, a stunning 70,000% gain!

These stocks do well during periods of crisis for several reasons, but mainly because they are such a small sub-set of the financial landscape that even a fractional increase in interest sends them soaring. And this time around, I think we are going to see the high end of the range that these stocks are capable of, for the following reasons:

If all unfolds as it can, and likely will, for the first time ever, we'll benefit from a concurrence of a discovery market with much higher precious metals prices. Toss in a lot of investors with a lot of cash, nervous about the outlook for global financial markets and looking for a trend to fall in love with, and you have all the elements necessary for you and me as early investors in the resource sector to pull down truly extraordinary gains.

Don't get overly greedy, and don't mortgage the house to buy gold stocks. But do make sure that you move toward being fully invested... which, depending on your willingness and ability and level of risk tolerance, might take you up to 20% - 25% of your portfolio.

You're going to find good reason to love gold stocks. But I hope you won't fall in love with them. Although I'm a philosophical gold bug, I'm not always a gold bull. I always keep in the back of my mind that gold shares aren't heirlooms, they're burning matches. And while I still think this market will see gold's biggest run in history, when it's over these stocks will lose 90% of their value... as does any class of stocks when a mania ends. But the good news is that the mania hasn't even begun.

Doug Casey is a famous contrarian investor, public speaker, author, and chairman of Casey Research. His latest venture is the brand new BIG GOLD, a monthly newsletter dedicated to concise and fast-reading analysis of today's accelerating gold and silver bull markets and in-depth information on the world's leading gold mining companies, gold ETFs, precious metals mutual funds, and much more. Click here for a risk-free 3-month trial with money-back guarantee.



Doug Casey

Author: Doug Casey

Doug Casey
Casey Research, LLC.

Doug Casey

Doug Casey is a highly respected author, publisher and professional investor who graduated from Georgetown University in 1968.

Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil: his book Crisis Investing spent multiple weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980 with 438,640 copies sold; surpassing big-caliber names, like Free to Choose by Milton Friedman, The Real War by Richard Nixon, and Cosmos by Carl Sagan.

Then Doug broke the record with his next book, Strategic Investing, by receiving the largest advance ever paid for a financial book at the time. Interestingly enough, Doug's book The International Man was the most sold book in the history of Rhodesia.

He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News and CNN; and has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post.

Doug, who divides his time between homes in Aspen, Colorado; Auckland, New Zealand; and Salta, Argentina, has written newsletters and alert services for sophisticated investors for over 28 years. Doug has lived in 10 countries and visited over 175.

In addition to having served as a trustee on the Board of Governors of Washington College and Northwoods University, Doug has been a director and advisor to nine different financial corporations.

Doug is widely respected as one of the preeminent authorities on "rational speculation," especially in the high-potential natural resource sector.

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