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Chris Ciovacco

Author: Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC.

2013

Stocks Could Continue Surprising Ascent - 13 May 2013
Markets Forecasted Favorable Employment Report - 03 May 2013
Reaction to Central Banks of Uppermost Importance - 30 Apr 2013
Charts Still Concerning Pre-Labor Report - 05 Apr 2013
Market's Defensive Tone Concerning - 01 Apr 2013
Is Another Bullish Push In The Cards? - 15 Mar 2013
Market Correction Possibilities - 27 Feb 2013
Stocks Remain Vulnerable To More Weakness - 25 Feb 2013
Are European Stocks Turning Up Again? - 12 Feb 2013
All Is Well In Europe, Right? - 04 Feb 2013
Are Stocks Getting Ready To Correct? - 31 Jan 2013
Is There Any Hope For Stock Bears? - 16 Jan 2013

2012

Despite Cliff Uncertainty Evidence Supports Bullish Case - 20 Dec 2012
Will An Imminent Cliff Deal Push Stocks Higher? - 17 Dec 2012
It Is What It Is...Bullish - 14 Dec 2012
Muted Response To Fed And Contingency Plans - 13 Dec 2012
With Greece Aid Deal In Place, Can Markets Avoid Cliff? - 27 Nov 2012
Cliff Talks Set Markets Up For Possible Bounce - 17 Nov 2012
Bears In Control Until Charts Improve - 12 Nov 2012
Six Reasons Stocks Could Tank Soon - 08 Nov 2012
Bearish Evidence Piling Up Against Stocks - 23 Oct 2012
Is Another Risk-On, Bailout-Induced Rally Beginning? - 17 Oct 2012
Insiders and Momentum Still Concerning For Stocks - 11 Oct 2012
Tech Says 'Be Careful' With Stocks - 10 Oct 2012
3 Reasons To Be Bullish On Emerging Markets - 02 Oct 2012
China, Spain Help Risk Near Key Support - 27 Sep 2012
Weakness Could Morph Into Stock Correction - 26 Sep 2012
Germany May Throw Markets Bearish Curve - 25 Sep 2012
Are Stocks Beginning To Peak? - 24 Sep 2012
Monday's Sell-Off Respects Fed's Printing Press - 18 Sep 2012
Money Printing: Good For Stocks - Bad For Bonds - 15 Sep 2012
Which ETFs Performed Best During QE2? - 13 Sep 2012
7 Reasons Materials Are Poised To Break Higher - 12 Sep 2012
Technology Stocks Look Tired - 10 Sep 2012
Four Reasons Stocks Can Move Significantly Higher - 07 Sep 2012
Have Stocks Put In 'No-QE' Top? - 30 Aug 2012
What Are Small Caps Telling Us About Risk? - 29 Aug 2012
Open-Ended QE: A Game Changer For Stocks? - 27 Aug 2012
Are Stocks Poised For Another Melt-Up Rally? - 20 Aug 2012
Four Charts Bears Do Not Want To See - 16 Aug 2012
Six Reasons Monster Stock Rally 2012 Is Right Around The Corner - 10 Aug 2012
Stocks May Get One More European Scare - 06 Aug 2012
Popular Stock Market Indicator Is Bullish - 31 Jul 2012
Central Banks Spark Bullish Conditions - 30 Jul 2012
Fed Tries To Calm European and Stock Market Waters - 25 Jul 2012
Why China Is Back On Our Radar - 20 Jul 2012
Earnings Push Market To Cusp Of Breakout - 19 Jul 2012
Despite Problems, Bullish Trends In Place - 16 Jul 2012
Markets Pointing Toward Rally In Risk - 13 Jul 2012
Short-Euro, Long-Treasuries Overcrowded and Risky Trades - 09 Jul 2012
Euro Opportunity Could Be Coming - 06 Jul 2012
Preparing For Friday's Employment Report - 05 Jul 2012
Iran, Stimulus, and Charts Could Push Oil Higher - 03 Jul 2012
German Shift May Have QE-Like Impact On Stocks - 01 Jul 2012
Can Europe Pull Germany From Fantasy Land? - 27 Jun 2012
'All Clear' Not Given For Stock Bulls Yet - 21 Jun 2012
Central Banks Help Break Downtrend - 17 Jun 2012
German Timetable Radically Different From Wall Street - 14 Jun 2012
Yields and Momentum: Too Early To Buy Aggressively - 13 Jun 2012
Buying Opportunity or Full-Blown Bear Market? - 12 Jun 2012
Bailout and Technicals Say Be Open To Stock Rally - 11 Jun 2012
Lower Lows May Bring Buying Opportunity - 08 Jun 2012
Deteriorating Markets Look For Next Bailout - 05 Jun 2012
Europe-Driven Market Risk Remains Elevated - 04 Jun 2012
Without Steps in Europe, Markets Could Fall Fast - 01 Jun 2012
German Index Can Assist U.S. Investors - 31 May 2012
Europe: Policy Options Remain Limited - 30 May 2012
Are The Bears Headed For The Woodshed? - 25 May 2012
Bottoming Process or Bearish Acceleration? - 23 May 2012
Foreign Stocks Face Key Tests - 22 May 2012
Too Early To Take Much From Monday's Gains - 22 May 2012
Europe: 'Cuts Aren't Working...Let's Spend...Oh Wait...' - 18 May 2012
REITs Begin To Show Cracks - 17 May 2012
Uncertainty Abounds - Markets Have Taken Note - 16 May 2012
VIX Reflects Escalating Concerns About Market - 15 May 2012
Greece May Trigger Bearish Stock Pattern - 14 May 2012
Europe: Big Problems Remain For Markets - 11 May 2012
Gold Questioning Fed's Effectiveness - 10 May 2012
Market Hangs In, But By A Thread - 08 May 2012
Europe, Slowing Momentum Concerning For Stocks - 07 May 2012
Market Remains Tentatively Bullish - 02 May 2012
Commodities Can Help With 'Sell In May' - 01 May 2012
Breadth, VIX, And Trends Give Slight Edge To Bulls - 27 Apr 2012
Simple Ways To Monitor Current Market - 26 Apr 2012
Are The Markets At A Logical Bottom? - 25 Apr 2012
Fed Statement To Set Market's Tone - 24 Apr 2012
Europe Wobbles, Technicals Try To Stabilize - 20 Apr 2012
Similar Markets Lean Bullish Longer-Term (Updated) - 17 Apr 2012
Italian Bonds/Economic Data/Materials Raise Caution Flag - 03 Apr 2012
Financials Have Barely Moved Relative To 2007 Highs - 20 Mar 2012
Is The VIX Flashing A Buy Signal? - 16 Mar 2012
Germany and Banks Point To Higher Highs In Stocks - 15 Mar 2012
Banks and Homebuilders Show Impressive Strength - 14 Mar 2012
Current Stock Push Has Hurdles To Clear - 12 Mar 2012
TIPS Show An Indecisive Market - 09 Mar 2012
Market Breadth Aligns With Pullback Scenario - 28 Feb 2012
VIX, Transports Indicative of Vulnerable Stock Market - 27 Feb 2012
Gold's Pullback An Opportunity? - 17 Feb 2012
'No QE3', Retracement Level Stalls Financials - 16 Feb 2012
Copper Miner Worth Watching - 15 Feb 2012
Germany May Foreshadow SP 500 Weakness - 14 Feb 2012
Buying Opportunity Coming? - 10 Feb 2012
Golden Cross Can Lead To Golden Loss - 31 Jan 2012
Deal With Creditors Not End For Greece - 30 Jan 2012
Last Time Bullishness Hit These Levels... - 23 Jan 2012
Fed To 'Hold Off' On QE - 20 Jan 2012
Central Banks Putting Taxpayers At Risk - 16 Jan 2012
Yields/Cycles/Sentiment Say Gains May Not Last - 06 Jan 2012
Is The Fed Bailing Out Europe? - 04 Jan 2012

2011

Euro Holds Key For Stock Rally - 28 Dec 2011
Bond Market: Europe To Remain Problematic For Stocks In 2012 - 23 Dec 2011
European Debt Is 'Obviously Unserviceable' - 23 Dec 2011
Back-Door Bazooka: The EU Solution? - 19 Dec 2011
Precious Metals Patterns Could Weigh On Stocks - 14 Dec 2011
Currencies Favor Bears Longer-Term - 12 Dec 2011
Can The EU Pact Offset Bearish Momentum? - 09 Dec 2011
ECB and Dow Theory Undermine Bulls - 08 Dec 2011
Outlook Still Favors Bearish Outcomes - 21 Nov 2011
SP 500 1,215 and 1,191 Key Support - 10 Nov 2011
Gold, Treasuries Still In Bearish Camp For Stocks - 04 Nov 2011
Low QE2 Volume and Inside Day Point To More Downside - 03 Nov 2011
Fed, Markets Concerned About Deflation - 02 Nov 2011
Ominous Signals for Silver and Stocks - 21 Oct 2011
Germany: Solutions To Extend Well Into Next Year - 17 Oct 2011
Impressive Rally Showing Some Signs of Slowing - 15 Oct 2011
Silver's Signals Lean Bearish For Stocks and Commodities - 14 Oct 2011
Bullish Set-Up vs. Europe, Downtrend - 08 Oct 2011
Part II - Stocks: Like March 2008 or August 2008? - 06 Oct 2011
Quick Fix In Europe? Dream On - 05 Oct 2011
Stocks Are Going Lower - Deflation Assets Higher - 04 Oct 2011
Greece, Recession Odds, and Technicals All Bearish - 03 Oct 2011
Short-Term Conviction Faltering For Bulls (Updated) - 30 Sep 2011
Early Read on German Vote is Bearish - 28 Sep 2011
Most Likely A Prudent Time To Cover SP 500 Shorts - 27 Sep 2011
Downside Potential In Stocks And The Euro (Updated) - 23 Sep 2011
22 Reasons The SP 500 Is Headed Below 1,050 - 22 Sep 2011
Market Forecasting Fed Disappointment - 20 Sep 2011
China / Market Action Question Stock Rally's Staying Power - 16 Sep 2011
Is The Euro Crisis Over Or Just Getting Started? - 15 Sep 2011
SP500 Relative to Europe is Raising Red Flags for Bulls - 13 Sep 2011
Stocks/Commodities May Get Hammered If Dollar Rallies - 11 Sep 2011
Fed Can't Twist Sell Signals Away - 09 Sep 2011
Shorts May Prey On Serious Problems In Europe - 08 Sep 2011
Logical Case For 49% Drop In Stocks - 05 Sep 2011
Traders Don't Care About Long-Term Problems, But You Should - 01 Sep 2011
Tepid Interest in QE2 Winners Raises Questions About QE3 - 30 Aug 2011
Europe, Bearish Technicals Drag Down Longer-Term Outlook for Stocks - 29 Aug 2011
ETF Rankings: Significant Downside Still Possible In Stocks - 26 Aug 2011
Action in Gold and Silver May Be Bearish For Stocks (Updated) - 25 Aug 2011
Bearish Signals Raise Red Flags as Market Anticipates Fed - 23 Aug 2011
Dip Buyers Beware: Odds Favor Lower Lows in Stocks - 22 Aug 2011
Dollar May Assist in Managing Gold and Silver Holdings - 19 Aug 2011
QE2 Winners Not Forecasting QE3 Jackson Hole Miracle - 18 Aug 2011
Stock Market's Death Cross Looking More Deadly This Time - 16 Aug 2011
Rally Back Toward 1,260 Possible Even If New Bear Has Kicked-Off - 15 Aug 2011
Parallels To 2000 And 2008 Should Not Be Ignored - 12 Aug 2011
Risk Management, Stocks, and the Debt Crisis - 09 Aug 2011
Stocks Recovered in 1994, 1998, and 2004 - 08 Aug 2011
Market Sitting On Fine Bull/Bear Line - 05 Aug 2011
Recent Data and Breakdowns Call For Defensive Bias - 03 Aug 2011
One Possible Market Scenario For Meeting August 2 Deadline - 29 Jul 2011
Missing August 2 Debt Deadline Still Not Likely - 27 Jul 2011
How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices? - 27 Jul 2011
Commodities Share Indecisiveness with Other Markets - 26 Jul 2011
Leaders Playing Dangerous Game with Nation's Debt Rating - 25 Jul 2011
Monitoring the Dollar to Manage Risk in Stocks - 21 Jul 2011
Policymakers in U.S. and Europe Help Improve Market Leadership - 20 Jul 2011
What To Look For In A Bearish Turn For Stocks - 18 Jul 2011
Dollar Faces Resistance - Stocks Stalled For Now - 14 Jul 2011
Gold and Silver Picking Up Steam Relative to Stocks - 13 Jul 2011
Profits and Commodities Part of Mixed Picture for Stocks - 11 Jul 2011
Commodities and Market Internals Concerning For Stocks - 27 Jun 2011
Valuations Can't Offset Current Concerns - 20 Jun 2011
Dollar's Close Friday Important for Stocks and Commodities - 17 Jun 2011
Currencies and Commodities: QE3 Not Imminent - Remain Defensive - 10 Jun 2011
Crowded and Confused Market Calls for Picking Stop Levels - 13 May 2011
Friday's Session Produced Key Levels to Watch in Stocks, Dollar, and - 09 May 2011
Stocks, Dollar, and VIX Not Anticipating Negative Reaction to Fed - 26 Apr 2011
Risk-Reward: Why We Incrementally Raise Cash - 15 Apr 2011
Earnings Projections, Support, and Resistance - 11 Apr 2011
VIX and 'Flash Crash' Assets Move To Bullish Camp - 04 Apr 2011
Will 1970s-Style Inflation Derail the Bull Market in Stocks? - 01 Apr 2011
Bulls Get Benefit of Doubt - End of QE2 Concerning - 29 Mar 2011
Energy, Materials, and Industrials Are Well Positioned - 21 Mar 2011
Time to Trade Stocks and Silver for Gold? - 17 Mar 2011
Strategy and Outlook for a 'Prove it to Me' Market - 16 Mar 2011
Will the Fed Hint at QE3 and Surprise the Bears? - 15 Mar 2011
Nuclear Meltdown in Japan Would Have Worldwide Implications - 12 Mar 2011
A Market In Motion Tends To Stay In Motion... - 11 Mar 2011
VIX, 'Flash Crash' Assets Tell Us Bears Are Gaining Traction - 10 Mar 2011
Most Attractive Commodities Are Benefiting From QE2 - 09 Mar 2011
Manpower Survey Bullish, But Correction Threat Remains - 08 Mar 2011
Stock Market Outlook and Attractive Sectors - 04 Mar 2011
Has Spiking Oil Kicked-Off a New Bear Market in Stocks? - 02 Mar 2011
Oil and Middle East Require Defensive Bias - 24 Feb 2011
Market Calls for Incremental Approach - 23 Feb 2011
Bears May Be Taken To The Woodshed During Next Correction - 11 Feb 2011
Some Evidence for 'Steep Decline' Debatable - 09 Feb 2011
Recent Pullback May Allow Stocks to Move Higher - 08 Feb 2011
Stock Market Bias Remains Bullish, But Resistance Ahead - 07 Feb 2011
Stocks Getting Boost From Commercial Real Estate - 04 Feb 2011
Are Stocks Making a Major Top? - 03 Feb 2011
Million Man March Leaves U.S. Market Vulnerable Short-Term - 31 Jan 2011
Can the Fed Vault the SP 500 Over 1,291? - 26 Jan 2011
Monitoring the 'Risk Trade' with the Gold/Silver Ratio - 21 Jan 2011
Stocks Appear Attractive Over Next 6-to-12 Months - 19 Jan 2011
Bullish Sentiment Could Dampen Stock Rally - 14 Jan 2011
QE2 and Stock Market Breadth Still Question the 'Smart Money' - 05 Jan 2011
SP500 Eyes 1,313 and 1,326 in 2011 - 04 Jan 2011
2010 Challenges Met; SP 500 1,256 Now Cleared - 03 Jan 2011

2010

2011: Housing, Jobs, Stocks, Commodities, and Dollar - 31 Dec 2010
Update: 2011 Outlook for Commodities Remains Positive - 30 Dec 2010
Breadth/Fed Stimulus Encouraging to Bulls - 28 Dec 2010
2011 Stock Market Outlook and Video Part 2 of 2 - 24 Dec 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Not A Barrier To Further Gains - 22 Dec 2010
Dollar's Rally Still Concerning for Stocks and Commodities - 18 Dec 2010
Risk Assets Responding to Quantitative Easing - 16 Dec 2010
Dollar's Rally Looks Tired - 10 Dec 2010
Outlook for Commodities Remains Positive - 08 Dec 2010
Well-Positioned Sector ETFs for 2011 - 03 Dec 2010
Monitoring the Bull and QE's Effectiveness - 02 Dec 2010
Four Ways to Monitor the Dollar and Risk Trade - 30 Nov 2010
Moving Averages May Tame SP 500 Decline - 26 Nov 2010
Current Correction Should Be Tamer Than Spring/Summer Plunge - 26 Nov 2010
Market Says Be Patient With Entry Points For Gold - 24 Nov 2010
SP 500 Levels to Watch After Spain Says 'No Problems Here' - 24 Nov 2010
Keeping an Eye on Spain and Portugal - 19 Nov 2010
'Risk On' Trade May Be Back - 18 Nov 2010
How Far Could Stocks Fall? - 17 Nov 2010
Odds Favor Further Downside in Stocks and Commodities - 16 Nov 2010
Stock Market Remains Vulnerable Short-Term - 12 Nov 2010
Dollar, Euro, Gold, Silver, and VIX Poised For Reversals - 10 Nov 2010
Dollar Rally Could Impact Gold - 09 Nov 2010
Silver May Be Making a Blow-Off Top Today - 09 Nov 2010
Dollar Rally Still Quite Possible - 08 Nov 2010
SP 500 May Be Headed to 1,256 - 05 Nov 2010
Market's Early Reaction to QE2 is Bullish - 04 Nov 2010
Quantitative Easing and Asset Price Inflation - 29 Oct 2010
Bulls In Control, But Stock Market Has QE Fatigue - 28 Oct 2010
What is Quantitative Easing? Fed's Perspective and Writings - 27 Oct 2010
Quantitative Easing (QE2): Who Gets the Fed's Printed Money? - 26 Oct 2010
Video: Quantitative Easing Targets Asset Prices, Not Bank Reserves - 22 Oct 2010
U.S. Dollar Could Rally In Coming Weeks - 11 Oct 2010
Pressures Mount on Bank of England (BOE) to Devalue Pound - 07 Oct 2010
Markets Tentatively Bullish on Economy, Mid-Terms, and Earnings - 27 Sep 2010
Investment Contingency Plans 2010-2011 - 16 Sep 2010
Markets Appear Ripe for a Sustainable Bullish Turn - 01 Sep 2010
Hindenburg Omen Is Concerning, But Not Overly So - 26 Aug 2010
Long-Term Case for Stocks and Commodities Stronger than Case for Bon - 18 Aug 2010
Reading Between The Lines: James Bullard's Seven Faces of 'The Peril - 03 Aug 2010
Weak Job Creation Not A Surprise To Markets - 29 Jul 2010
Hedge Funds Care, So Should You - 26 Jul 2010
Currencies, Oil, and Emerging Markets: Moves May Be Something To Bui - 09 Jul 2010
Stocks May Surprise By Year-End - 02 Jul 2010
Choppy Recoveries and Stock's Rally Attempt - 18 Jun 2010
Stocks: Risk/Reward From Current Levels - 10 Jun 2010
Deflationary Forces and Historical Market Corrections - 04 Jun 2010
Technicals and Fundamentals Could Converge - 27 May 2010

2009

Are Stocks Making A Major Top? - 12 Nov 2009
Breadth Trying To Make Bullish Turn - 11 Nov 2009
Highest Unemployment In 26 Years Calls For Open Mind - 06 Nov 2009
Unexpected Market Moves Should Not Be Ignored - 23 Oct 2009
Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987 - 09 Oct 2009
Stocks May Not Correct Until 2010 - 01 Oct 2009
History (1929-2009) Supports Further Stock Gains - 25 Aug 2009
Markets Make Significant Progress In Transitions From Bear Markets T - 03 Aug 2009
Bulls Try To Take It Up A Notch - 22 Jul 2009
All That Glitters May Not Be Goldman - 15 Jul 2009
Bullish Trends and Significant Corrections - 22 Jun 2009
If It Looks Like A Bull, Walks Like A Bull, And Acts Like A Bull ... - 12 Jun 2009
The Weak Dollar Gives...The Strong Dollar Takes Away - 04 Jun 2009
Friday: Bullish Employment? and Possible Outcomes - 07 May 2009
Leading ETFs: What To Watch Now - 15 Apr 2009
Sustainable Bull Market Not Likely - 08 Apr 2009
Rally Built On Sand? FASB Can Help! - 31 Mar 2009
The Rally's Million Dollar Question - 27 Mar 2009
Rally At Cross Roads - 19 Mar 2009
Volume Gives Shorts The Upper Hand - 18 Mar 2009
Pet Rocks and Mark-to-Market Accounting - 13 Mar 2009
Why TALF is Bad for America - 05 Mar 2009
Collective Thoughts Of Investors Point To More Losses - 03 Mar 2009
Fundamentals, Valuations and Technicals Say Remain Patient - 25 Feb 2009
Market's Base Is Not Necessarily Bullish - 12 Feb 2009
Breadth, "Accounting Problems", and Gold - 10 Feb 2009
"Bad Bank" Does Not Trump "Bad" Market - 28 Jan 2009
Market Leaders Hesitate On Stimulus Plan - 26 Jan 2009
2009-2010: Asset Price Drivers - 16 Jan 2009
2009: Major Post Asset Deflation Themes - 07 Jan 2009

2008

Fundamentals, Valuations, and Technical Trends - 09 Dec 2008
2002 Stock Lows May Not Hold - 20 Nov 2008
Where Valuations and Technical Support Intersect - 13 Nov 2008
Transitions From Bear Markets To Bull Markets - 04 Nov 2008
Stocks Will Bottom Well Before Economy - 20 Oct 2008
Stocks, Gold, and The Dollar - 09 Oct 2008
Investing Now: The Big Picture - 02 Oct 2008
Conditions Ripe For Possible Stock Rally - 18 Sep 2008
Fear and Uncertainty Remain After AIG Bailout - 17 Sep 2008
Welcome To The Mortgage Business - 07 Sep 2008
Today's Stock Rally Changes Little - 28 Aug 2008
The Dollar Has Been Allowed To Appreciate - 18 Aug 2008
Risk Management In Trending Markets - 25 Jul 2008
New FDIC Rules of Concern for Large Depositors - 18 Jul 2008
A Sad Day for U.S. Taxpayers and Investors - 14 Jul 2008
The Reverse Wealth Effect - 09 Jun 2008
Economic Realities Continue to Favor Inflation - 27 May 2008
Technicals and Fundamentals Remain Weak - 26 Mar 2008
Technical Breakdowns May Call For More Hedging - 12 Feb 2008
2008 Asset Class Outlook - 16 Jan 2008
The Future of Investing: The National Debt, Social Security, and Med - 14 Jan 2008

2007

Not Yet Time To Throw In The Towel - 20 Dec 2007
1981 or 1998: Stock Market Behavior Following Consecutive Fed Rate C - 01 Nov 2007
Lower Rates and the Relative Performance of Investments - 05 Oct 2007
Asset Class Behavior Following Fed Rate Cuts - 01 Oct 2007
Stock Market Behavior Following Fed Rate Cuts - 19 Sep 2007
Yields May Not Be A Threat Yet - 15 Jun 2007
Asset Class Outlook Favors The Bulls - 01 Jun 2007
An All-Weather Portfolio Using Multiple Asset Classes - 08 Mar 2007
Upgrading Your Asset Allocation In 2007 - 05 Jan 2007

2006

Are You Really Diversified? - 29 Dec 2006
Friday's Employment Report: Reaction May Be Telling - 06 Dec 2006
FED Speak: Bark, No Bite - 17 Nov 2006
The U.S. Dollar vs. Gold: You Should Care - 02 Nov 2006
A Soft or Hard Landing? - 23 Oct 2006
Housing Poses a Significent Threat to GDP and Stocks - 19 Sep 2006
Is It Time To Prepare For Economic Weakness? - 19 Jul 2006
What Are The Finanical Markets Telling Us? - 13 Jul 2006
Germany's 1923 Inflation: Can It Help Us Today? - 06 May 2006
Investing In Today's Inflationary World - Chris Ciovacco - 26 Apr 2006
Bird Flu: Possible Effect On Your Investments - 31 Mar 2006
Investments Based On Peak Oil Are Critical For Individuals And Will - 22 Mar 2006

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