See attached
A blow off in the CRB index, if it is to sustain these
higher prices, it would the world, this will only accelerate the downside
pressures to the global economy, discretionary spending will take the largest
hit.
Is This Your
Daddy’s Stagflation? PDF
File.
http://web-xp2a-pws.ntrs.com/content//media/attachment/data/econ_research/0802/document/dd022208.pdf
I would add that unit labour costs peak at economic
cycle’s turning points. Also the typical pattern of the Fed were to
tighten monetary policy because of wage pressures, this was not the case back
in 2007.
What an absolute horrible situation, the US consumer has to watch
the value of their home fall, and now their investments, see the price of gas
hit a record and watch your food prices go up, this is going to set up an angry
electorate for the US this fall.
Joseph B
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