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From:Patrick Dougherty
Received:09/04/2008 07:24 PM
Subject:Pitfalls in a Post-Bubble World

Stephen S. Roach, Chairman, Morgan Stanley Asia

A year ago, there was barely an inkling of what was about to transpire
in world financial markets and the global economy. There were some early
warning signs that all was not well in the subprime slice of the US
mortgage market. But as was the case with the dot-com bubble in early
2000, subprime was widely judged to be of little consequence for the
macro story. Denial, one of the most powerful of human emotions, once
again had the upper hand. The broad consensus of consumers, business
people, policymakers, and politicians ignored simmering problems on the
subprime front and believed that the global boom of the preceding five
years was very much intact.

View the full report
http://www.morganstanley.com/views/perspectives/files/roach_presentation.pdf

 

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