In the study, which involved 804 interviews with a representative, random
sample of men and women in urban and rural areas in 29 of the country's 32
provinces, Afghans' interest in the election was palpable. Almost everyone knew
it was coming, and 81 percent intended to vote. (This included large majorities
of both sexes in every region, though some women feared their husbands might not
let them vote.) Their eagerness to participate was confirmed by the rapid
progress of voter registration since May, when it began in the rural areas (home
to four-fifths of the population). In three months, registration soared from 1.5
million to 8 million of the estimated 9.5 million eligible voters. It continues
at a pace of up to 125,000 per day, despite Taliban remnants opposed to the vote
who threaten and even kill registrants.
A major reason for Afghans' determination to vote is the rebirth of hope in
their country since the fall of the Taliban. They know too well its problems
with security, warlords and women's rights. But two out of three think
Afghanistan is headed in the right direction, citing the progress toward peace,
reconstruction and normality in most of the country. Interim president (and
presidential candidate) Hamid Karzai has a 62 percent job approval rating and is
praised for hard work and efforts to bring peace. Karzai's personal favorability
is even higher -- 85 percent -- and runs across regional and ethnic lines.
Moreover, Afghans have placed great faith in democratic elections: Fully 77
percent say the election of a president and parliament will make a difference.
In a country that has never known elected leaders, they voice intense hopes that
rulers accountable to the people will be able to fulfill their aspirations.
Almost two-thirds of Afghans have gained some idea of the meaning of
democracy; most mention freedom or rights. A solid consensus (more than 80
percent) supports equal rights under law -- regardless of religion, tribe or
gender -- and the right to peaceably oppose government. Two in three now favor
separating religious and political leadership, while less than 10 percent think
democracy and Islam are incompatible.