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US Dollar

By: Ed Carlson | Tuesday, December 23, 2014

DXY gained 1.69% last week to close at 89.84 and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart. As long as DXY remains above 88.68 (the breakout level from the June 2010 high) I remain bullish.

However, a four-year cycle top is due now. The next short-term cycle high is expected during the first week of Feb.

A 3wave (A-B-C) move off the 2011 low and my own price forecasting model converge on a price target of 91.00. The breakout from the nine-year bottoming formation forecasts an ultimate move to 103.

DXY recently broke out of 30-year bullish wedge for which the measuring implications are for a bull market to 160!!! None of us may be around long enough to see that but it makes the target of 103 much more "digestible."

US Dollar Index Chart
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Author: Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson
Seattle Technical

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent trader, consultant, and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) based in Seattle. Carlson manages the website Seattle Technical, where he publishes daily and weekly commentary. He spent twenty years as a stockbroker and holds an M.B.A. from Wichita State University.

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