http://www.safehaven.com/ Safe Haven: Preservation of Capital 20 en-us http://www.safehaven.com/images/rss_logo.gif http://www.safehaven.com/ 120 16 Antal E. Fekete <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15755.htm For some nine years I have been predicting that the economy is going to a recession morphing into a depression, using a purely theoretical argument. The essence of my argument is that the open market operations of the Fed cause a protracted ... Bob Hoye <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15761.htm On the December rally we thought the conclusion would be a rounded top. Including the brief excitement of an "over thrust" this worked out, and the initial drop was significant. Significant enough to be equivalent to the preceding remarkable run ... Guy Lerner <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15758.htm The current value of the indicator stands at 1.02 suggesting that the Rydex market timers are becoming more bearish, and this is a bullish signal. Neil Charnock <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15756.htm This so called recovery is problematic and now it is slowly entering a new dangerous phase. Bank losses have now been eclipsed as the major issue as sovereign debt emerges in a more sinister manner. This is only part of the problem ... Mike Paulenoff <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15753.htm But this is not a normal market, but one instead where you get news every few hours it seems that some other country's CDS's are blowing out. Amidst crisis conditions in Europe, the dollar is being looked at as the currency of choice ... Mike Shedlock <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15754.htm It takes ever increasing amounts of money to create just a few manufacturing jobs. Here is a case in point. Douglas V. Gnazzo <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15760.htm Needless, to say, volatility reigns supreme. It appears that a fifth wave down is starting, as evidenced by the first chart below. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level provided stiff resistance and stopped the market dead in its tracks. Marty Chenard <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15759.htm Well ... is there such a thing? An index that the others follow? An index that can't be manipulated because it "really isn't a trade-able index"? And yet, an index that is a great technical analysis reflection of the stock market? Reggie Middleton <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15757.htm Banks are the epicenter of the economic crises that face the developed and emerging nations over the last few years. Many appear to have allowed the media to carry the conversation away from the banks and into sovereign debt issues ... John Mauldin <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15750.htm This year is likely to be a year of surprises. Global economic growth will disappoint. The intrusion of governments into all matters financial, economic and even personal is a cause for uncertainty associated with policy risks; and markets hate ... Ned W. Schmidt <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15747.htm The great blizzard that rolled across the eastern United States this past week should have served as an icy funeral pyre for the Global Warming Scam. Charles Ponzi was a rank amateur when compared to the attempt by climate evangelists ... Captain Hook <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15744.htm Major stock market indices put in outside weekly reversals last week, which is a bearish technical indication the intermediate-term trend may have finally rejoined the primary forces that would see prices far lower were it not for ... Guy Lerner <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15749.htm I have most often discussed the composite indicator constructed from the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury in the context of high readings. Collectively, when these trends are strong and rising ... Sol Palha <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15748.htm If you take the very short term view you are going to get frustrated with the concepts of patience and discipline, but understand that one needs to look further out and check to see if everything is clear before jumping in. Big gains are not made by ... KWR: Scott MacDonald <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15752.htm The economic crisis of 2007-09 has left a different world in its wake. The stumbling of the Anglo-American economies and a painful rethinking of that model of free-wheeling capitalism has left the field open to those economies still standing. Ron Paul <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15746.htm Continually increasing the debt is one of the logical outcomes of Keynesianism, since more government spending is always their answer. It is claimed that government must not stop spending when the economy is so fragile. Government must act. Yet ... Merv Burak <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15742.htm Gold looks great if you turn the page upside down. Otherwise, one might just stay away for a while until the dust settles. The NYMEX close for gold was $1052.80 while only an hour or two later the Globex electronic trading showed gold at $1065. Jordan Roy-Byrne <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15741.htm Needless to say, Thursday was nothing short of an orgasmic day for Gold bears and Dollar bulls. The precious metals complex crumbled along with the Euro, while the greenback was higher. In fact, it was such a bad day that Gold officially ... Tyler Mordy <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15751.htm In his classic little book "Economics in One Lesson", first published in 1946, economist Henry Hazlitt observed that "there is no more persistent and influential faith in the world today than faith in government spending." Sound familiar? Richard Shaw <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/pdf/shaw_2010_02_08.pdf The SP 500 has grown over the 60+ years since 1947 at a rate of 6.8% through the March low of 2009, the same rate of growth of the GDP over the same period. If we take for the sake of argument that the GDP is an attractor value ... Richard Mills <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15745.htm As we become a bit more environmentally conscious and start to recognize and acknowledge the negative effects on our environment caused by our overly consumptive, energy inefficient lifestyles and business practices, a number of businesses ... Brewer Futures Group <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15743.htm The trading week ended with traders still fearing a widening and deepening debt situation in the Euro Region. Optimistic traders are looking for some solution to be reached by either a "pseudo-bailout" by the European Central Bank or European Union. Guy Lerner <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15734.htm Like those long distance car trips I take with my children where 90 minutes into an 8 hour drive they say, "Are we there yet?", market participants are wondering the same: are we there yet? Will the recent bout of selling ... Clive Maund <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15735.htm Silver did exactly what was predicted in last weekend's update - it bounced off the support of its long-term uptrend line before reversing and crashing through it spectacularly on Thursday, but then on Friday it bounced back strongly ... Clive Maund <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15736.htm Gold performed as predicted in the last update, rallying up to the top of its Descending Triangle before reversing and crashing support at the bottom of the Triangle on Thursday. Many traders were startled by the magnitude of Thursday's $45 drop. Axel Merk <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15733.htm The world's attention is on the fiscal malaise in Greece and Portugal. Just a few months ago, policy makers told banks to shore up their balance sheets with more sovereign debt. However, policy makers around the world have since raced to spend ... Joseph Russo <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15732.htm Turn-bar analysis is one of the ways we keep members abreast of pivotal market turning points. Back in October of 2009, when most everyone else was calling for an imminent crash, we alerted our readership that new highs were likely ... Chris Vermeulen <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15738.htm Last week was an incredible week for trading the intraday charts. With rising volume and volatility prices began to move up or down for extended periods of time allowing traders to profit from these powerful short term price swings. Chris Vermeulen <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15739.htm Understanding market psychology is crucial for a trader's success. But so many people get caught up in the daily market volatility, media coverage and "noise" of the trading environment, it's almost impossible to not think and trade in agreement ... Adam Brochert <webmaster@safehaven.com> http://www.safehaven.com/article-15737.htm Public and private debt will be printed up out of thin air and used to replace the bad private and public debt plaguing the financial world. As the insanity progresses, more and more will turn to Gold. Whether we are headed for an implosion that is ...