Safehaven | Playing The NDX Like A Fiddle

May 24, 2008

Playing The NDX Like A Fiddle
by Joseph Russo

Before we illustrate our total command over the NDX of late, we wish to provide you with a brief update to our previous week's assessment of the Dow Transportation Average.

In brief, the update of the hourly Transportation average below exemplifies precisely how dynamic Elliott Wave architecture adjusts in accordance with real-time price action.

The hourly chart from a week ago noted prospects for an ending pattern to chop the Transports higher amid a suggested slowing in the rate of advance.

However, the fever-pitch reversal-high last Monday, and the pursuant downside carnage breaching the 5250 level by weeks-end - violated conformity to that ending pattern, forcing immediate adjustments to the unfolding wave count, and setting the stage for monitoring critical support above the 4800 mark.

All told, the wave structures (and alternate 3-wave peak) outlined below, reflect our latest assessment of the advance off the January lows.

SHORTING A TRADABLE TOP IN THE NDX-100

Wednesday, 14-May:
Just three sessions before its print high of 2050.79, we continued to monitor a suspected ending diagonal pattern in progress from the start of the month. We wish to draw your attention to Wednesdays high of 2028 relative to our upside price target of 2050 boxed in green. Of added note, is what appeared to be a classic upside gap-closing 30-pt reversal day to end Wednesdays session at 1997.30 - leaving us over 52-points from our standing upside price objective for wave -v- to complete the pattern. If our analysis proved correct, we postulated that once wave -v- terminated, the NDX would fall like a stone toward the 1960 level.

Monday, 19-May
Following the anticipated high jinks surrounding Wednesdays "false" reversal day, we quickly narrowed the boundaries to our ending diagonal pattern. In doing so, this shifted the terminal of wave -iv- to Thursdays print low on 15-May as illustrated below. Following Mondays 2050.79 print high, another fever-pitch reversal took place into the close. After nailing the EXACT TOP within .79-cents, we calibrated an imminent downside price target of 1968 by Mondays close. On this date, we also added a projected "time" at which such a low would most likely occur. We conveyed this projection of "time and price" to members in our Monday Evening Post. The timing for this low was circled with a question mark, 4-days in advance for the 23-May, 27-May time period to deliver the NDX toward the 1960-level - with a firm target of 1968 cited.

Friday, 23-May
There is no better way to start a long Holiday weekend than with a stellar week of hard-earned trading profits! Elliott Wave Technology OWNED the NDX all week long, much like we take ownership of all the markets regularly covered in our publications. Perfection with this level of precision is rare, but does occur with a level of routine regularity, which obliterates chalking up such outstanding achievements to chance. By Wednesday 21-May, we had also added a downside price objective "window" which began at 1950. As illustrated below, we delivered the NDX to our readership on a silver platter. All of our downside price and time objectives arrived right on time.

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...And you may never again trade the indices without us-

The express focus of Elliott Wave Technology's charting and forecasting services is to keenly observe, monitor, and anticipate the future course of broad market indices over the short, intermediate, and long-term.

Each broad data-set under study, whether an intraday 10-minute price chart, or a yearly bar chart spanning hundreds of years, is assessed by its current and historical face-value regardless of composition changes, or underlying currency dynamics.

We vigorously observe standard charting protocol, in concert with classic application and adherence to the exceptionally accurate navigational benefits provided by the proper application and classic tenets of Elliott Wave Theory.

Although Elliott Wave Theory is by no means a complete trading system, it is the best tool - bar-none, from which to anticipate future price direction and amplitude across all time horizons.

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Trade Better / Invest Smarter...

Joseph Russo
Chief Editor and Technical Analyst
Elliott Wave Technology

Joseph Russo, presently the chief editor and analyst for Elliott Wave Technology, has been studying Elliott Wave Theory, and the Technical Analysis of Financial Markets since 1991 and currently maintains active member status in the "Market Technicians Association." Joe continues to expand his body of knowledge through the MTA's accredited CMT program. Having passed the Level I examination in November of 2004, Joe is now preparing to begin study for his Level II exams. Upon successful completion of an exhaustive level III examination he will have earned the industries highly regarded designation of Chartered Market Technician.