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August 29, 2009 Why Did the U.S. government Confiscate Gold in 1933 and Can it Happen Again? - Part 3 |
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This is a snippet from a recent issue of the Gold Forecaster with Subscriber-only parts excluded. In this the third part of this series we look at the fall of gold as a medium of exchange and the freeing up of gold ownership from August 15th 1974 onwards.
Congress could easily revoke the privilege again. In fact, at no time during this century has the U.S. government recognized the right of private gold ownership. The Trading with the Enemy Act, which President Roosevelt invoked in 1933 to restrict private gold transactions, remains law. Although private ownership of gold in the United States was legalized on August 15, 1974, the power to confiscate gold remains in the hands of the President. The President still retains the right, under the Emergency Banking Relief Act, to "investigate, regulate or prohibit... the importing, exporting, hoarding, melting or earmarking of gold" in times of a declared national emergency. It is highly unlikely that either the Courts or Congress would successfully argue that confiscatory powers are not implicit in the Emergency Banking Relief Act if a currency crisis or other fiscal emergency prompted the President to, once again, nationalize gold. The 'privilege' not right, to own gold was restored to U.S. citizens on the 15th August 1974 [not 1971, when Nixon 'floated the $ against gold and stopped foreign central banks from converting U.S. dollars to gold]. It is pertinent to the thinking behind this series, to understand why these moves were made. The entire exercise was to move gold away from the core of the monetary system for it could not be controlled by governments and particularly the most powerful of them on this earth, the United States. For government to have control of money they had to control its issue away from the measuring line of gold. In the opinion of the U.S., then the I.M.F. and then accepted by all governments money had to be simply an un-backed I.O.U. drawn on governments. Gold had to be discredited and sidelined to make this happen convincingly. It worked! The $ replaces Gold
Gold is money no more. It is only now, nearly 40 years later, that a tiny number of buyers pay the € for their oil, not enough to topple the $. Certainly O.P.E.C. will only do so when they can feel secure away from the protection of the U.S. And they will only change that pricing if they can dominate demand more fully. This can only happen once China is next to the States as a global economic force and insists on using the Yuan to pay for their oil. Until then they will continue to have sufficient of the U.S. $ to pay for their oil in dollars. The need for gold was eliminated by its exclusion from international finance and as a direct alternative to the $. So what, if the gold price went from $42.35 to $850 over the next decade. Gold was relegated to a private investment medium from its money role. The effect of the rising gold price was emasculated in the system as the $ became an absolutely necessary medium of exchange. Gold was money no more, but it was still considered to constitute a danger to the $. Hence gold sales from the U.S. first, followed by gold sales from the I.M.F., as they used these gold sales to elevate the $ [and the SDR - unsuccessfully] over gold, as money. They were successful, but the running gold price still reflected the falling value of currencies. As no government really wanted gold out of the system completely [so continued to hold onto their reserves of gold] but still wanted the gold price to drop back into insignificance they followed a path of accelerating gold supplies through loaning bullion to gold miners in a process that allowed miners to make money as the gold price was falling [accelerated sales]. So the gold price fell from $850 to $295 through these accelerated sales and the threat of central bank sales, until 1999 and the "Washington Agreement".
When those extreme days come the price of gold will be secondary to the amount each central bank holds! Then the prospect of confiscating its citizen's gold will become very attractive again. The fact that it has happened before makes it possible that it can happen again! It is wise to make sure that you are not vulnerable to such an act. We will look at this in more detail in a later part of the series. Make sure you follow this and other fundamental gold matters in the : - Gold Forecaster regularly covers all fundamental and Technical aspects of the gold price in the weekly newsletter.
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Julian D. W. Phillips
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